Section
Agenda
One foundational problem, five domains, four initiatives, and several ways into the same body of work
Inside Agenda
Questions, domains, and lines of inquiry
01
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Research Initiatives
Flagship Initiatives
Four coherent programs that connect questions across domains
03
Section
Lenses
04
Page
Untitled
The twentieth century produced an extraordinary set of ideas for understanding the world: modern economics, statistics, AI, and more They transformed civilization. They also grew i…
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A Different Kind Of Institution
We are building the institute to find out before those ideas become infrastructure. Many of the hardest problems in economics, statistics, medicine, social science and AI may point…
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Subprime Is Contained
We're betting civilization on the idea that everything is as predictable as a planet's orbit. But markets, economies, and societies. They can't be forecast — not because the math i…
07
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Page
Monoculture
When everyone trusts the same model, everyone is blindsided at once. Shared assumptions turn scattered errors into one system wide failure — and no instrument warns you, because ev…
09
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Map Replaces The Terrain
As AI increasingly determines access to capital, work, information, and opportunity, models can stop merely describing society and start shaping it. If we get that wrong, AI could…
10
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Humans Out Of The Loop
Most of the numbers that run your life are now made by machines talking to machines. The price of your stocks. Your mortgage rate. Your insurance premium. What your portfolio says…
11
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More Dangerous Than Central PLanning
Recreating the central planning debate inside of markets..looks like free market solution
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Details
We built modern civilization on theories about how to predict, measure, and manage the world. Those theories now sit underneath economics, finance, medicine, public policy—and incr…